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Canadian Home Sales Drop Nearly 10% Year-Over-Year in April


The Canadian housing market continues its subdued trajectory, with the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) reporting a 9.8% drop in national home sales in April 2025 compared to the same month last year. Just 44,300 properties changed hands, down from 49,135 in April 2024.

The slowdown reflects a market that’s returned to the “quiet” conditions seen since 2022. CREA Senior Economist Shaun Cathcart attributes the hesitation to economic uncertainty and trade-related concerns, similar to the impact high interest rates had in recent years.

“Given the increasing potential for a rough economic patch ahead, the risk going forward will be if an average number of people trying to sell their homes turns into a large number of people who have to sell their homes, and that’s something we have not seen in decades,” said Cathcart.

Supply is rising in B.C. and Ontario, but demand remains tepid. Across Canada, new listings fell 1% from March, though total active listings were up 14.3% year-over-year — still below the historical April average.

The national average home price in April was $679,866, down 3.9% from a year ago, and CREA’s Home Price Index showed a 1.2% decline from March.

Realtor Tim Hill added, “We’re seeing increased inventory with very stagnant demand… There’s been some hesitation out there and a lot of uncertainty.”

With CREA recently downgrading its 2025 forecast, TD’s Rishi Sondhi noted another “subdued month,” but pointed to a possible rebound later this year if confidence returns.

Source: https://stats.crea.ca/en-CA/

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BCREA Q2 2025 Housing Forecast Update


What’s Happening in the BC Real Estate Market?

Here’s a formatted version of the BCREA Q2 2025 Housing Forecast summary tailored for use in your email newsletter. It uses a clean, skimmable structure suitable for real estate clients or subscribers:

🏡 BCREA Q2 2025 Housing Forecast Update

What’s Happening in the BC Real Estate Market?

🔍 Market at a Glance

The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) has released its 2025 Second Quarter Forecast, and it’s clear the market is taking a breather.

Why? Global economic uncertainty—especially new U.S. tariffs on Canadian exports—is causing buyers to pause, even as interest rates fall.

📉 Key Highlights

  • Home sales across BC are expected to dip 1.1% in 2025, totaling about 73,650 units.

  • A rebound is forecasted for 2026, with sales projected to rise 8.8%.

  • Interest rates are down (Bank of Canada cut its rate from 5% to 2.75%), but inflation and trade tensions may limit further cuts.

  • Inventory is up, which may soften prices. Expect flat-to-slightly-lower prices in 2025, with moderate growth in 2026.

📍 Regional Snapshots

Vancouver Island-Coast:

  • Victoria: Sales up 1.8%, average price up 1.7%

  • Rest of Island: Sales down 3.8%, prices mostly flat (+0.4%)

Lower Mainland:

  • Greater Vancouver: Sales down 1.6%, average prices expected to drop 2.1%

  • Fraser Valley: Sales down 2.4%, modest price dip (-0.6%)

  • Chilliwack: Slight growth in both sales (+1.7%) and price (+0.5%)

Thompson-Okanagan:

  • Okanagan: Sales down 3.7%, price growth modest (+1.4%)

  • Kamloops: Sales up 2%, prices nearly flat (+0.5%)

Northern BC & Kootenay:

  • Northern BC: Sales up 2.1%, prices up 0.8%

  • Kootenay Region: Sales up 5.4%, prices up 2.7%

📈 What to Expect Moving Forward

Buyers are waiting for more certainty in the economy before jumping back in. When they do, BCREA expects a sharp rise in sales. Until then, it’s a window of opportunity for well-priced listings and motivated buyers.

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https://www.bcrea.bc.ca/wp-content/uploads/2025-04-housing-forecast.pdf

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